An Appraiser's View

Do mortgage interest rates affect or effect appraised values? The simple answer is no, and yes. Confused? Let me explain. 
Assuming you are aware of how an appraiser arrives at his or her opinion of value, lets take a look to see if interest rates "affect" appraisal values. Affect is a verb and describes current action, which means something that AFFECTS the appraiser's selection of comparable properties, ie; the presence of a pool, the size of the house, number of baths, location, condition, etc., the appraisers reconciliation of the cost to build a similar home, or the appraisers selection of comparable rental properties. And although changes in the market can make the selection of more recent sales important, that is due to the price they sold at, which may or may not be from the interest rate the buyer received.
But do interest rates EFFECT appraised values? You bet they do. EFFECT is a noun, descriptive after the fact, so current mortgage interest rates AFFECT how much a buyer can afford to borrow, which EFFECTED how much they were able to pay for a home. This is similar to the current job market in a an area. A borrowers employment status AFFECTS how much they borrow, so if an area is depressed, this will EFFECT the values in the area. Understand? No?
Hmmm. That's ok, just try and think of it this way. Appraisers do not determine how much you will buy or sell your house for, or how much the bank will loan you against your house. We report current market conditions like increasing or decreasing values, supply, and demand, which AFFECTS the banks lending decision, and EFFECTS your buying decision.
One last thought. Did you know yo can get an appraised value based on what a property will be worth at a selected future date? It's called a *Prospective Appraisal. It's a handy tool when you are looking at flipping, renting for market appreciation, subdividing, spec building, or holding paper on a loan. One aspect of prospective appraising is determining where the market will be on the chosen prospective date, and historical interest rate trends are part of that equation. So as in all things involving the English language, prospective appraisals are the exception to rule. 

Up next. Math, the English method. 

*If interested in a prospective appraisal or you would like prospective appraising explained, feel free to contact me directly. 
    

  

Posted by Jeff Pickerel on August 6th, 2022 6:00 AMLeave a Comment

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January 3rd, 2019 8:43 AM

I keep hearing people complain about how interest rates have gone up and the general consensus seems to be if you didn't buy, refinance, or get an equity line in 2017 then you missed the boat. However, while it may be true that if you didn't BUY in 2011 or 2012 you missed the low point of the housing market, and if you didn't REFINANCE in July of 2016 you missed the historically low interest rate, if you click on the chart link below you will see the facts are TODAY'S MORTGAGE RATES ARE A FULL PERCENTAGE POINT LOWER THAN THEY WERE IN 2003-2006 (The years of explosive real estate values leading up to the real estate bust). 

So yes, while rates may have creeped up, they are still historically low, and significantly better than the rate I received when I purchased my first home (8.6%)  

http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms30.html


Posted by Jeff Pickerel on January 3rd, 2019 8:43 AMLeave a Comment

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